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Past and ongoing shifts in Joshua tree distribution support future modeled range contraction. The future distribution of the Joshua tree (Yucca brevifolia) is projected over its current range, future modeled climates, and paleoecological data showing its response to a past similar climate change. As climate rapidly warmed 11 700 years ago, the range of Joshua tree contracted, leaving only the populations near what had been its northernmost limit. Its ability to spread northward into new suitable habitats may have been inhibited by the somewhat earlier extinction of megafaunal dispersers. | Past and ongoing shifts in Joshua tree distribution support future modeled range contraction. The future distribution of the Joshua tree (Yucca brevifolia) is projected over its current range, future modeled climates, and paleoecological data showing its response to a past similar climate change. As climate rapidly warmed 11 700 years ago, the range of Joshua tree contracted, leaving only the populations near what had been its northernmost limit. Its ability to spread northward into new suitable habitats may have been inhibited by the somewhat earlier extinction of megafaunal dispersers. | ||
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* [http://www.mendeley.com/groups/1766971/m2m/papers/ Mendeley Library] Available to view without making an account. Email Lynn to join have a document added or to join the group (upload to and manage the library). | * [http://www.mendeley.com/groups/1766971/m2m/papers/ Mendeley Library] Available to view without making an account. Email Lynn to join have a document added or to join the group (upload to and manage the library). | ||
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Contents
M2M: Do microenvironments govern macroecology?
Schedule of Events
- Conference calls via GotoMeeting
- March 20, 2014, 11am PDT
- Other events
- US IALE Conference, Anchorage, AK. May 2014
- Fieldwork Schedule (subject to change, please contact Lynn if you need to confirm these dates)
- Spring schedule TBD
Meeting Notes
- NCEAS, May 15-17, 2011
- Conference call, June 20, 2011
- Conference call, July 13, 2011
- Conference call, August 8, 2011
- Conference call agenda, December 14, 2011
- Conference call field notes, December 14, 2011
- Conference call, January 18, 2012
- Conference call (Flint, Flint and Dingman Ensemble Update), February 22, 2012
- NCEAS, April 5-6, 2012
- Conference call, May 8, 2012
- Conference call, June 6, 2012
- Conference call, Dingman downscaling update, Sept 19, 2012
- Notes from Meeting/Modeling Workshop at NCEAS, November 2012
- Conference call slides- Seedling survival, Temperature averaging, February 13, 2013
- Conference call slides, May 15, 2013
- Conference Call slides, July 11, 2013
Presentations
- F. Davis et al. Dec 2010 AGU talk on scale effects in SDMs
- A. Flint & L. Flint Dec 2011 AGU talk on Climatic Water Deficit in CA
- L. Sweet et al. 2012 ESA talk on first year plant growth data
Useful papers
Cole et al. 2011 Ecol Applic Past and ongoing shifts in Joshua tree distribution support future modeled range contraction. The future distribution of the Joshua tree (Yucca brevifolia) is projected over its current range, future modeled climates, and paleoecological data showing its response to a past similar climate change. As climate rapidly warmed 11 700 years ago, the range of Joshua tree contracted, leaving only the populations near what had been its northernmost limit. Its ability to spread northward into new suitable habitats may have been inhibited by the somewhat earlier extinction of megafaunal dispersers.
- Mendeley Library Available to view without making an account. Email Lynn to join have a document added or to join the group (upload to and manage the library).
Data
- DRAFT Data Directory Structure Format (excel doc)
- Preliminary HOBO data used for presentation Jan. 18, 2012
- Field Site Boundary Files
- Modeling Domains for 30m Grids
Media
- "Budget ‘Sequestration’ and Climate Change: The Looming Reality of Less Science," John Wihbey, Yale Forum on Climate Change and the Media, June 5, 2013
- "ASU researchers model impact of future climate change on forests," ASU News, Oct 21, 2013
- "ASU researchers studying how to preserve tree species amid climate change," Chris Cole, Cronkite News, ASU, Nov 8, 2013
- "UCSB Researchers Say Drought, Global Warming Potentially Packing One-Two Punch". Interview with Joel Michaelson and Frank Davis. Lance Orosco, KCLU News, January 31, 2014
Other stuff
- Video time-lapse visualization of Tejon HOBO Tmax by J. Dingman
- Original NSF proposal
- Revised Project Management Plan
- Revised Data Management Plan
- NSF Macrosystems PI Meeting Summary (March 11-14, 2012, Boulder, CO)
- NSF Macrosystems PI Meeting Poster 2012
- NSF Macrosystems PI Meeting Agenda 2012
- NSF Macrosystems PI Meeting Participants List 2012
Photos
Janet's photos from Teakettle Jul 2011 in a zipped archive 22MB
Janet's photos from NCEAS and Sedgwick May 2011 in a zipped archive 89MB
